Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.271467 0.364265 0.472544 0.606282 0.765069 0.945679 1.164693
2026-02-01 0.139647 0.242601 0.383556 0.581645 0.843759 1.169948 1.597364
2026-02-08 0.080789 0.183810 0.348434 0.607197 0.980417 1.476889 2.163717
2026-02-15 0.042867 0.134102 0.306434 0.608541 1.079545 1.742759 2.701844
2026-02-22 0.026146 0.111398 0.298047 0.655159 1.245433 2.111188 3.402243
2026-03-01 0.014546 0.089488 0.281725 0.682527 1.382004 2.446093 4.076026
2026-03-08 0.006915 0.068437 0.257371 0.688020 1.480806 2.729392 4.690046
2026-03-15 0.002571 0.049599 0.228022 0.675265 1.544179 2.959733 5.235868
2026-03-22 0.000923 0.038756 0.213394 0.687831 1.650421 3.260542 5.896916
2026-03-29 0.000208 0.029164 0.196148 0.689617 1.735125 3.529438 6.518813
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.019982 0.172512 0.669639 1.774658 3.724348 7.032851
2026-04-12 NaN 0.013410 0.152225 0.651660 1.814106 3.918808 7.551114
2026-04-19 NaN 0.009593 0.140940 0.655768 1.900575 4.201936 8.227325
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005651 0.121500 0.630559 1.922576 4.373943 8.732757
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004410 0.119499 0.658068 2.060512 4.757377 9.593229
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002854 0.110351 0.659721 2.140899 5.040606 10.298238
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002546 0.114829 0.709200 2.333536 5.535444 11.365637
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001949 0.113633 0.738216 2.480923 5.952247 12.313588
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001221 0.106664 0.744059 2.574224 6.272040 13.107345
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000597 0.095669 0.730585 2.619607 6.503179 13.757285
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000348 0.091599 0.743885 2.730910 6.862571 14.632525
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000160 0.085370 0.745778 2.813429 7.169010 15.423433
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000037 0.074995 0.724648 2.834989 7.357640 16.015744